Tony Blair says there's 30% chance Brexit won't happen – Politics live

Rolling coverage of the day’s political developments as they happen 3.00pm BST Tony Blair has said he thinks there is a 30% chance of Brexit being reversed. He made the assessment in an interview on Bloomberg TV yesterday. Asked what were the chances of Brexit not happening, he replied:It’s really difficult to say. Most people would tell you, and I should say to you I think it is likely it happens. On the other hand, I still have some difficulty seeing how after the general election, which produced a hung parliament in the UK, this government is going to get its form of Brexit through. Because I think there are a lot of Labour MPs who will oppose it, and a lot of Conservative MPs who will oppose a hard Brexit. So there’s maybe, I sometimes say, a roundabout 30% chance that it’s changed. But the truth is a lot will depend on how the debate develops over this year. 2.13pm BST George Osborne has been tweeting out a picture of the Evening Standard front page, splashing on the interview with Phil Hogan, the Irish European commissioner for agriculture, denouncing Boris Johnson. (See 12.05pm.)pic.twitter.com/S7BZonLyXuThis week the whole world has been treated to the shambolic spectacle of the cabinet negotiating with itself in public.Britain’s diplomatic mission to the United Nations in New York looks like something that Alan Ayckbourn could have written: the dishevelled foreign secretary who gives a press conference trapped in a hotel lift; the prime minister who’d rather have a meeting with Ivanka Trump than with Boris Johnson. Continue reading…
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